Republic of Korea-Pacific Islands Climate Prediction Services (ROK-PI CLIPS)

1. Establishment of the Dynamical Seasonal Forecasting System
1.1 Assess current regional capacities that produce and provide the various climate prediction information including El Nino prediction after modifying the existing APCC’s dynamical seasonal forecasting system (2014).
The dynamical seasonal forecasting system refers to a web-based system that enables forecasters in the Pacific region to monitor and analyse real-time forecast information from state-of-art global climate models around the world. By merging information on the future seasonal forecast of individual climate models and its past performances, it is able to assist climate staff to produce their own seasonal forecast for their respective countries.
1.2 Extend APCC’s services to the Pacific region and establish the Climate Information Application System for the Pacific Region and transfer the system to Pacific Met Desk Partnership.
Install the computing hardware and software at SPREP and ensure reliable operation of the server. This installation will increase the capacity of SPREP’s information and communications technology in addition to supporting the Pacific Island National Meteorological Services.
1.3 Make further improvements and modifications based on the verification of results and the country’s requests
Improve the system after a first phase of pilot operation or build on the current capacity of the country. Optimize the dynamical seasonal forecasting system to the work environment of the Pacific region through operation analysis.

2. Development and transfer of the Downscaled Prediction System
2.1 Assess regional capacity and identify gaps or additional needs to develop the downscaled prediction system.
Due to the diversity of geographical locations and topographic condition of each Pacific Island, large scale forecast information produced by global climate models need to be validated and tailored with respect to station based observation.
2.2 Develop the downscaled prediction prototype

3. Development of the Application Guideline
3.1 Develop the application guidelines using large-scale climate information
Develop the guidelines based on the verification and impact analysis for each pacific island country

4. Training of the Climate Information Application
4.1 Climate Information Application Training
Hold training programs for:
· APCC’s (Asian Pacific Climate Center) prediction methodologies and information communication and technology based climate prediction application system
· Using the developed guidelines of downscaling methods and climate prediction application